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Managing change in
the 2014-2020 Workplace – Technology
Do you remember how Cloud computing changed a whole lot of stuff?
Think about those large businesses that had licenses before the desktop? And they don’t need them anymore? That would have been 44,000 at some companies and all of a sudden they don’t need these licenses because we’re doing it differently. Oh, wow!
So, how can we predict anything by 2030 given how fast things are changing? Because we don’t know what’s going to happen when what’s called Moore’s Law fails. And we can’t go any smaller without becoming subatomic.
We don’t know what’s going to happen.
It’s the near future.
They’re doing things about it. How are we going to do this?
Meet Michio Kaku.
Anyone heard of Michio? Awesome, awesome person. Go out to YouTube and listen to a ton of stuff. He’s incredible as a speaker.
And he says, as a renowned theoretical physicist, a computer technology guy, artificial intelligence … deals with medicine and space travel, but he asks the right questions.
And the questions are:
- How is this going to affect the economy?
- Don’t you want to know that?
- And who will have jobs?
This my kind of a guy. Alright? So, he’s written this book, The Physics of the Future. And you can read it and understand it. It’s not written in gibberish, but stuff makes sense. And so what he said is that if we’re going to know what’s going to happen by 2030, we need to talk to scientists.
And so he talked to scientists.
He went out and he found a bunch of them. Matter of fact, he actually found about 300 scientists.
And he said to them,
“Here’s what I want to know – I want to know what you have as a prototype right now? There has to be a prototype in existence and it has to conform to the known laws of physics.
Those two things were critical. And what he learned was as he talked to all these people was that the destiny of the computer is to become invisible. It’s going to go away! I don’t go anywhere without my computer. I don’t go to church without my computer. I take notes on everything – that’s how I pay attention. We’re not going to have it. It’s really kind of frightening. What’s it going to be like?
In 2030, the environment will be alive.
There will be those computer chips that cost hardly anything they’re going to be everywhere. They’re going to be in the carpet, in the furniture. They’re going to be in our clothing. They’re going to be in our accessories. They’re going to be everywhere. We will find the computer anywhere we want to look for it. Not just in glass and in the furniture, but everywhere.
As a matter of fact, in the biosphere, computers are going to allow us, rather than being observers, we’re going to become designers. Cats that glow in the dark – lot easier to herd them if they’re glowing in the dark, at least at night. Now these already exist. Right? They’ve moved on this?
And the word “computer” will disappear from the English language.
I cannot think of anything else that has become so integrated that it no longer has a word to define it. This is the near-future. It’s already begun.
So predictions for 2030 based on what we already have prototypes for … already in the making.
What are some of the things that are there? I don’t know if you can see this this well, but this person has a screen projected approximately two feet in front of her face. The University of Washington is working on vertical retinal display. And they can project the computer screen.
We don’t need this anymore?
Cool. Alright. I’m going to be in the internet, I just don’t want to carry it around with me.
Matter of fact, there are contact lenses today that allow you to access the internet.
All you have to do is blink. You blink and you can get on the internet and a very small handheld allows you to manipulate what it is you’re seeing.
In 2030, MIT is already working on facial recognition through the internet, so you can look at somebody and say, “Who’s that?” There won’t be any, “I’m sorry, what is your name?” We won’t have to do that anymore. But you’re not only going to know their name, you’re going to and … “How’s Zip your dog? How’s Zip coming along?” You’re going to know everything about that person. I hear Zip’s blood type is E positive. Facial recognition.
We’re going to have wearable computing.
Won’t that make going to JC Penney a little more interesting? Oh, we don’t have to go to JC Penney. But MIT – already working on this.
Wearables – the thread itself will be internet interwoven. And this one I love – driverless cars!
That’s one of the predictions. For 2030, okay, in 10 years. Yeah, that would be in 2024. Oh is it? Oh my goodness! There was a car summit in 2012. And you said, “It’s already here because Google has a car that drives all around San Francisco all day long and that’s all it does and there’s no driver. Oh, 2030, hmmm …
Here’s another one that’ll be a lot of fun. I’m going to name mine “Fred.” Telepresence – you can have a face on a wall. You could have the face on several walls. And say,
“Fred, vacation – Hawaii, Holland, and some other place that starts with the letter “h.” Okay? And Fred will go do that. Also, telepresence means that you can be somewhere that you’re not. Cool! Maybe you would like to be where you can see your grandchild being born? Maybe you’d like to be in the room of someone who’s in the hospital? You can do that. Telepresence will be huge.
Also, there will be robots who will be invading the office near you.
And that could be your computer. Foldable paper.
You might get your computer out of your wallet and unfold it and that’s your computer. When you’re done you’re going to fold it back up and put it back away. So this is happening at Arizona State University – flexible electronic paper.
Anybody heard of “Peapod?” Do you have to go to the grocery store to get groceries? You don’t? Will they deliver to your door? I’m trying to get them to deliver it to my dinner table already ready. That’s right.